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XAG/USD 85.525 ▼ -3.11%NGAS 2.81 ▼ -1.95%ETH/USD 2,260.08 ▼ -0.93%WTI Crude 100.49 ▼ -0.65%XBR/USD 104.99 ▼ -0.61%BTC/USD 79,898.00 ▼ -0.29%XAU/USD 4,688.30 ▼ -0.25%DE40 24,433.46 ▲ +0.23%Copper 6.606 ▼ -0.15%US500 7,464.10 ▲ +0.13%US30 50,091.30 ▲ +0.07%US100 29,377.117 ▼ -0.01%XAG/USD 85.525 ▼ -3.11%NGAS 2.81 ▼ -1.95%ETH/USD 2,260.08 ▼ -0.93%WTI Crude 100.49 ▼ -0.65%XBR/USD 104.99 ▼ -0.61%BTC/USD 79,898.00 ▼ -0.29%XAU/USD 4,688.30 ▼ -0.25%DE40 24,433.46 ▲ +0.23%Copper 6.606 ▼ -0.15%US500 7,464.10 ▲ +0.13%US30 50,091.30 ▲ +0.07%US100 29,377.117 ▼ -0.01%
Wall Street sign in New York City, financial district
📰 TOP STORY
S&P 500 & Nasdaq Eye Records as Cooling CPI Ignites Rate Cut Hopes; US Retail Sales Eyed
Following yesterday's cooler-than-expected US CPI data, global markets are rallying on increased expectations for Fed rate cuts later in 2026. US equity futures point to a strong o…
📷 Wall Street sign in New York City, financial district — Wikimedia Commons
Wall Street sign in New York City, financial district
S&P 500 & Nasdaq Eye Records as Cooling CPI Ignites Rate Cut Hopes; US Retail Sales Eyed

Following yesterday's cooler-than-expected US CPI data, global markets are rallying on increased expectations for Fed rate cuts later in 2026. US equity futures point to a strong open, potentially pushing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new record highs. Today's US Retail Sales data at 12:30 ET will be a key determinant of market direction into the afternoon.

📷 Wall Street sign in New York City, financial district — Wikimedia Commons

📅 Economic Calendar

Time (CY)Time (ET)CountryEventImpactPreviousForecastActual
13:00 06:00 UK GDP m/m 🔴 HIGH 0.5% -0.1%
19:30 12:30 US Core Retail Sales m/m 🔴 HIGH 1.9% 0.7%
19:30 12:30 US Retail Sales m/m 🔴 HIGH 1.7% 0.5%

📊 Market Report

XAG/USD
Silver USD per troy ounce
BEARISH
85.525 USD
▼ -3.11% today
What happened: Silver is experiencing a significant decline, tracking gold's weakness due to the stronger dollar and fading safe-haven demand. Its industrial demand component is also under scrutiny amid broader economic outlooks.
Watch: Industrial demand indicators and overall sentiment in the precious metals complex will dictate silver's near-term trajectory. Key support levels are being tested.
Support: 85 · Resistance: 86
NGAS
Natural Gas USD per MMBtu
BEARISH
2.81 USD
▼ -1.95% today
What happened: Natural Gas prices are sharply lower, likely due to mild weather forecasts in key consumption regions and potentially higher inventory builds than previously expected.
Watch: Upcoming weather forecasts and the weekly EIA Natural Gas Storage report will be the primary drivers for price action.
Support: 2.75 · Resistance: 2.85
WTI Crude
WTI Crude Oil USD per barrel
BEARISH
100.49 USD
▼ -0.65% today
What happened: WTI crude is trading down, mirroring Brent's movements as market participants assess supply-side risks against demand-side concerns. The stronger dollar is also contributing to the downward pressure.
Watch: Similar to Brent, geopolitical headlines and US inventory reports will be key. Any shifts in economic outlook will also influence demand expectations.
Support: 100 · Resistance: 101
XBR/USD
Brent Crude USD per barrel
BEARISH
104.99 USD
▼ -0.61% today
What happened: Brent crude futures are slightly lower on the day, paring some earlier gains. The market is weighing ongoing Middle East tensions and potential supply disruptions against concerns about global demand following economic data.
Watch: Geopolitical developments in the Middle East and upcoming EIA inventory data will be critical drivers for oil prices. Global growth forecasts will also play a role.
Support: 104.5 · Resistance: 105.5
XAU/USD
Gold USD per troy ounce
BEARISH
4,688.30 USD
▼ -0.25% today
What happened: Gold is down for the day, pressured by a stronger dollar and diminished safe-haven demand as risk appetite improves across equity markets, following the softer U.S. inflation report.
Watch: Movements in the US Dollar and real yields will be critical. Any unexpected geopolitical news could quickly reverse gold's direction.
Support: 4680 · Resistance: 4700
Copper
Copper USD per pound
NEUTRAL
6.606 USD
▼ -0.15% today
What happened: Copper prices are relatively flat, consolidating after recent volatility. The market is balancing industrial demand prospects, particularly from China, with global economic growth concerns.
Watch: Chinese industrial data and infrastructure spending plans will provide direction. Global manufacturing PMIs are also important for sentiment.
Support: 6.55 · Resistance: 6.65
DE40
DAX 40 index points
BULLISH
24,433.46 EUR
▲ +0.23% today
What happened: The DAX 40 is up in early European trading, buoyed by the global risk-on sentiment emanating from the US. Weakness in the Euro also provides some support for export-oriented German companies.
Watch: The overall health of the Eurozone economy and any new statements from the ECB will be key for sustained rallies. Global trade developments continue to impact export heavy Germany.
Support: 24300 · Resistance: 24500
US500
S&P 500 index points
BULLISH
7,464.10 USD
▲ +0.13% today
What happened: S&P 500 futures are trading higher, extending gains from yesterday's U.S. CPI beat, which fueled optimism for Fed rate cuts. The positive sentiment was further supported by a reported U.S.-China tariff truce.
Watch: Traders will closely monitor today's US Retail Sales figures for further clues on consumer spending and the overall economic health, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy path.
Support: 7400 · Resistance: 7500
US30
Dow Jones Industrial Average index points
NEUTRAL
50,091.30 USD
▲ +0.07% today
What happened: Dow futures are marginally positive ahead of the US open. The industrial average is benefiting from the broad market optimism following subdued inflation, though blue-chip stocks are seeing more measured moves compared to growth sectors.
Watch: Performance of industrial and financial stocks within the index, along with general economic data like retail sales, will guide the Dow's direction throughout the day.
Support: 50000 · Resistance: 50200
US100
Nasdaq 100 index points
NEUTRAL
29,377.117 USD
▼ -0.01% today
What happened: Nasdaq 100 futures are showing a flat to slightly negative trajectory in pre-market. While cooling inflation data generally boosts growth prospects, some profit-taking might be occurring after recent tech-led rallies.
Watch: Any news regarding technological sector performance or company-specific developments in the high-growth FAANG stocks will be critical. Retail sales data could also impact broader market sentiment.
Support: 29300 · Resistance: 29500
EUR/USD
Euro / US Dollar ratio
NEUTRAL
1.17139 USD
— today
What happened: The EUR/USD pair is relatively stable, with the dollar firming up in the wake of yesterday's CPI data, while the Euro remains constrained by mixed European economic signals.
Watch: Focus shifts to US Retail Sales data today. Any hawkish commentary from the ECB or Fed officials could also trigger movement.
Support: 1.17 · Resistance: 1.175
GBP/USD
British Pound / US Dollar ratio
NEUTRAL
1.35202 USD
— today
What happened: GBP/USD is holding steady, with sterling reacting to UK GDP data releases today. The underlying strength of the dollar after US CPI acts as a counterweight.
Watch: UK economic data, particularly GDP and manufacturing production, will be key for the pound. US Retail Sales will also influence the pair.
Support: 1.35 · Resistance: 1.355
USD/JPY
US Dollar / Japanese Yen ratio
BULLISH
157.818 JPY
— today
What happened: USD/JPY continues its upward trajectory, with the dollar strengthening on rate cut speculation and the persistent yield differential between the US and Japan.
Watch: Intervention rhetoric from Japanese officials remains a risk. US economic data such as retail sales will also drive the pair.
Support: 157.5 · Resistance: 158
AUD/USD
Australian Dollar / US Dollar ratio
NEUTRAL
0.72526 USD
— today
What happened: AUD/USD is trading flat-to-lower as the stronger US Dollar overshadows some positive sentiment from the US-China tariff truce, which typically benefits the commodity-linked Aussie.
Watch: Chinese economic data, commodity price movements (especially iron ore and copper), and US Retail Sales will be watched closely.
Support: 0.723 · Resistance: 0.727
ETH/USD
Ethereum USD
BEARISH
2,260.08 USD
▼ -0.93% today
What happened: Ethereum is underperforming Bitcoin today with a larger percentage drop, possibly due to specific network developments or profit-taking after its recent rally.
Watch: Ethereum's ecosystem developments, such as upgrades or dApp activity, alongside Bitcoin's price action, will influence its short-term direction.
Support: 2200 · Resistance: 2300
BTC/USD
Bitcoin USD
NEUTRAL
79,898.00 USD
▼ -0.29% today
What happened: Bitcoin is seeing a slight pullback, trading sideways after recent gains. The broader cryptocurrency market is consolidating, influenced by overall risk sentiment and recent ETF inflows/outflows.
Watch: Performance of US equities, particularly tech stocks, often influences crypto. Regulatory news and major institutional adoption updates are also key.
Support: 79000 · Resistance: 80500

🧠 Macro Analysis

What Happened This Session

The European session saw a broadly positive tone, carrying over from yesterday's US CPI data. Cooling inflation in the US has significantly bolstered expectations for Fed rate cuts later in 2026, leading to a global risk-on rally. European equities, particularly the DAX, shrugged off earlier bearish sentiment to post gains, although the FTSE 100 remained subdued by lingering domestic concerns and weaker GDP figures. Precious metals like gold and silver, conversely, trended downwards as safe-haven demand dissipated amidst a stronger US Dollar and rising equity markets. Energy commodities, Brent and WTI, saw slight pullbacks after earlier volatility driven by Middle East geopolitical risks. The US pre-market indicates a strong opening for equities, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures pointing higher, potentially towards new records. This broad optimism is underpinned by the narrative of 'soft landing' for the US economy and a more dovish Fed outlook.

What Could Move Markets Next

The immediate focus for the US session will be the release of US Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales figures at 12:30 ET. Stronger-than-expected retail sales could temper rate cut expectations slightly by suggesting robust consumer demand, while weaker figures might reinforce the dovish Fed narrative. Additionally, the weekly Unemployment Claims data could provide insights into the labor market strength. Several FOMC members are scheduled to speak throughout the day, and their comments on the economic outlook and monetary policy will be scrutinized for any shifts in stance. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, remain an underlying risk for energy markets.

Key Levels to Watch

InstrumentSupportResistancePivot
US500 7400 7500 7450
XAU/USD 4680 4700 4690
XBR/USD 104.5 105.5 105
EUR/USD 1.17 1.175 1.1725

🎯 Risk / Sentiment Matrix

Asset ClassSentimentKey DriverRisk LevelDirection
US Equities BULLISH Cooling US CPI fueling Fed rate cut hopes; US-China tariff truce MEDIUM
European Equities BULLISH Spillover from US optimism; weaker Euro supporting exports MEDIUM
Gold / Precious Metals BEARISH Stronger US Dollar and reduced safe-haven demand due to risk-on sentiment MEDIUM
Forex (USD) BULLISH Firming on rate cut speculation; potential for stronger retail sales MEDIUM
Oil / Energy VOLATILE Geopolitical tensions versus demand concerns and stronger dollar HIGH
Crypto NEUTRAL Consolidation after recent moves; influenced by broader risk sentiment MEDIUM